Prediction of Dayana Yastremska vs Elena Rybakina at Ningbo Open - Ningbo 10-16-25

• In recent months, Elena Rybakina has slightly better second serve points at 44.05% compared to Dayana Yastremska's 43.15%.
• Both players show strong returns against opponent's second serves, with Yastremska edging slightly ahead at 48.54% over Rybakina's 48.00%.
• When returning first serves, Yastremska outperforms Rybakina significantly, achieving 34.20% compared to 25.77%.
• Under pressure, Rybakina shows resilience by saving 57.34% of breakpoints, while Yastremska saves 47.76%.
• Rybakina has a higher match win percentage over the past year at 70.42%, compared to Yastremska's 61.11%.
• On different surfaces, Rybakina excels on Grass, while Yastremska performs best on Clay.
• Rybakina has faced tougher opponents on average, with an opponent rank of 64.3, compared to Yastremska’s 80.54.
• In deciding sets, Yastremska has a slight advantage, winning 53%, while Rybakina has won 52% of such instances.
• Their head-to-head matchup favors Rybakina, who has won both past encounters and 4 out of 5 sets.
• Interestingly, could the direct head-to-head results indicate a clear favorite in future matches? The evidence suggests it might.

Editorial Prediction (October 15, 2025, UTC):

Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska have showcased contrasting strengths and weaknesses in their recent performances. Rybakina, with her slightly better second serve success and superior break point save percentage, seems to have a slight edge under pressure.

However, Yastremska's strong ability to return first serves and her marginally better success in deciding sets present a formidable challenge for Rybakina. While Yastremska's best surface is Clay, the current hard surface conditions might play more into Rybakina's favor, as her overall win rate on hard courts is higher.

Despite the close competition, Rybakina's superior head-to-head record, higher recent win percentage, and experience against stronger opponents suggest she has a probable advantage going into this match.

Considering these factors, it is likely that Elena Rybakina will emerge as the winner in their upcoming tennis match.